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What Mandi Towns Taught Me About Risk

What Mandi Towns Taught Me About Risk
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Early on, I used to explain risk the way the industry taught me to: this category moves more, that one moves less, how would you feel if the value fell. It worked reasonably well in Indore. The first few times I had that conversation in a mandi town, an hour and a half from here, it fell completely flat. Not because people didn't understand. Because the question was the wrong way round.

What I've learned since has changed how I talk about risk everywhere, including with salaried clients in the city.

The household was already the bet

A family whose income depends on one or two crops has a yearly outcome that can vary enormously. Prices move, rain arrives or doesn't, and the same effort produces very different money in different years.

So when I asked how they'd feel if an investment fell in a year, the answer was essentially a shrug. They'd lived through worse, on a bigger share of everything they had.

That reframed the whole thing for me. The question in those households isn't "how much risk can you take". It's "what kind of risk are you adding to the risk you already carry". Our page on investing on a farming income came out of a lot of those conversations.

Different risk beats less risk

This is the part I now use with everybody.

A trader whose money is in stock and receivables in one market, or a farmer whose income depends on one crop, already has everything riding on one thing. What helps such a household is not a cautious holding. It's a holding that does not depend on the same thing.

Salaried families have the same problem in a quieter form. If your salary, your provident fund and your company shares all depend on one employer, you're concentrated too, and you may not have noticed because it doesn't feel like a bet.

Our page on asset allocation is usually written as a maths exercise. In practice it starts with an honest sentence about what your household income already depends on.

They thought in seasons, not in years

The second thing I had to unlearn was the calendar.

I'd talk about annual amounts and monthly instalments. They'd think in terms of before sowing, after harvest, and the gap in between. Once I started using their calendar, the arrangements made far more sense: a small monthly amount that survives the lean part of the year, and a larger one-off addition when money actually arrives.

A lot of urban advice quietly assumes a salary. When you drop that assumption, the structure changes. The monthly amount stops being the main event and becomes the thing that keeps the habit alive.

The first advice was often not to invest

This is the one that took me longest to accept, and it cost me business.

In a lot of those houses the season runs on credit, from a trader or an informal lender, and what that credit costs makes any investment discussion beside the point. The honest answer is to clear it first. Our post on SIP or prepay the loan covers the arithmetic.

Saying that out loud means walking away from an account. I've come to think it's the single best way to earn one instead. The households I told to wait a year are, many of them, clients now.

Buffers were understood better than portfolios

Here's where farming households were consistently ahead of my city clients.

They already knew about setting money aside for the next season before spending anything on themselves. That's a buffer. Nobody had to explain the concept. What was missing was the idea that a household needed a second one for a medical emergency or a wedding, separate from the input money.

In the city I meet the reverse. People with well-chosen holdings, and nothing at all put by for a month when something goes wrong. Our page on building an emergency fund gets sent to the second group far more often than the first.

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Ownership was a live question

The other thing that came up in almost every house, and hardly ever in the city.

Whose name should it be in. In a household where land is held jointly and several adults contribute to the same pot, that isn't a formality. People wanted to know what happens to a folio if the family divides, and whether a wife's savings stay hers.

They were right to ask, and the answers are simpler than they expected. The name on the folio decides ownership, the nominee decides who receives the units, and the two are different things. Our page on joint families came out of those conversations.

Nobody asked which fund

Worth noting, because it's the opposite of what I'm asked in the city.

In mandi towns the questions were about mechanics. What happens if I can't pay one month. Can I take part of it out. Whose name should it be in. Who gets it if something happens to me. Every one of those is a better question than which scheme did well last year.

Our page on nomination and our post on missing a SIP payment both exist because of how often those two came up.

Patience was not the problem

One more thing, and it surprised me.

The industry assumes small-town investors are impatient and will panic at the first fall. I've found close to the opposite. Somebody who has waited nine months between sowing and selling, with no idea what price they'll get, is not troubled by a portfolio being down for a quarter.

Where the panic comes from, in my experience, is not understanding the mechanics. Not knowing whether they can get their money out, or what happens if they miss a payment. Explain the mechanics and the patience is already there.

What I changed in how I explain things

Four things, and I use them with everybody now.

I ask what the household income depends on before asking anything about risk tolerance. I use the person's own calendar rather than the financial year. I ask about borrowing before discussing investing. And I stopped using the word safe about anything, because in a house that has watched a crop fail, that word sounds like a sales pitch.

Our post on why we don't name funds comes from the same place. Most of what makes a plan work isn't the product.

What travels back to the city

All of it, as it turns out.

A salaried client with a good job has a concentrated income too, and mostly doesn't think of it that way. A business owner in Indore has stock and receivables in one trade, just as a trader in a smaller town does. The question about what your household already depends on works in every living room I've sat in.

So the mandi towns didn't teach me a special method for farming households. They taught me the ordinary one, by taking away the assumption of a monthly salary that had been hiding it.

The thing I got wrong longest

I used to think the challenge in smaller towns was financial literacy, and that my job was to teach.

It wasn't. The people I met understood volatility, patience, and the cost of borrowing better than a lot of people with salaries and spreadsheets. What they hadn't had was anybody explaining the mechanics without trying to sell them something in the same breath.

That's a much easier problem to fix, and it's most of what this website is for. Myfolios is an AMFI-registered mutual fund distributor (ARN-145870) working from Indore since 2014, and we work with households across Malwa and Nimar. If you want the mechanics explained plainly, that part is free.

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Atul Shrivastava
About Atul Shrivastava
AMFI-registered Mutual Fund Distributor (ARN: 145870) and founder of Myfolios. 10+ years guiding investors in Indore and across India.